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Get our newsletter twice a week for more tips, tricks, and trends. Is will be hitting your inbox soon! Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. Paris has become the only capital in the world in which a leader is speaking the truth to the voters about the types of changes we need to undergo. French leader Emmanuel Macron’s presidency has reached a turning point.

France, but in the rest of Europe and in the United States. If Macron fails, Western politics may be down to one ultimate set of options: the Establishment, or the populists. As the experiences in the U. A number of senior executives and decision-makers have joined the Macron bandwagon in the hope that reforms in France will unleash the forces of economic growth.

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400 consulted feel their standard of living will improve over the next year, three points higher than in May. A majority of those polled also believe that their standard of living will go up. Three out of four are convinced that unemployment will stay the same or go down in coming months. In other words, the French president’s natural business allies are mostly onboard with the reforms. Macron has always seen them as the real drivers of change in the country, convinced their activity will ultimately trickle down to the rest of the French society. But the same poll also reveals a major hitch: the results offered by the poll’s authors underline a dichotomy between the levels of confidence shared by these senior executives and the general French population.

As the authors of the study conclude, this is a time of significant divergence within the French population with increasing optimism amongst senior executives opposed by increasing pessimism from within the general public. The average citizen has yet to see the change or the benefits of the reforms that senior executives and decision-makers, Macron’s natural allies, were supposed to drive. France to reinvent the political center in an age of political polarization, dogmatic parties and ideological confrontations inside Western societies. In fact, Paris has become the only capital in the world in which a leader is speaking the truth to the voters about the types of changes we need to undergo. This is why France has been left unscathed by the recent populist wave hitting Europe and the United States: the atypical, non-establishment and centrist political and economic offerings have served as solid alternatives. Can The Soldier Macron Save France?

In reality, the divergence revealed by the study is potentially an explosive societal cocktail. If public opinion continues to believe that the rules of the game are rigged and that it will not reap the dividends of improving economic conditions, this Macron momentum may grind to a halt. As history teaches us, a movement that does not obtain the endorsement of the silent majority, is doomed to fail. But in so doing, the French president faces a complex political challenge: his success depends ultimately less on his ability to conduct reforms and more on his capacity to exert a form of leadership that mobilizes the goodwill of those that are most skeptical about change. To do this, Macron is set to implement measures designed to protect the most vulnerable and improve their standards of living.

After some delay, these have been scheduled to begin in September. Some were amused by the counterintuitive levels of difficulty suggested by such an argument. But reality shows this is a paradox only in appearance, given how the problems France is currently facing illustrate the dilemmas confronting the rest of the West. Fourteen months into his tenure, French leader Emmanuel Macron’s presidency has reached a turning point.

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